Markets weekly overview for February 8 – 12

Markets weekly overview for February 8 – 12

The actual financial market overview based on CFTC:
Markets weekly overview for April 19 – 23.

To improve your trading system with the help of COT commission reports, watch the online course «Trading with professionals: CFTC reports for private traders».

We make up a weekly medium-term trade list based on CFTC reports and technical analysis.

The overview provides a description of the technical condition of the market on the most popular financial instruments, as well as information on the large speculators’ actions according to the last COT reports and the previous period.

If you want to use CFTC reports in your trading practice, you should understand that for an objective assessment of the situation it’s not enough to have the data of the last report. The dynamic is more important, in other words, comparing the statistics of large speculators’ actions in the current period with the previous one, so we mention both values.

Key topics

Trade list for the current week

AssetsComments1.
02
5.
02
**E-Mini
S&P500 (ESH21)
The resistance level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Friday, the trend is bullish now and the impulse wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction formation on the Daily timeframe. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 27 - February 2.
**Dollar Index (DXH21)The market remains in the uptrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 28 - February 1.
***EUR (E6H21)EURUSD currency pair remains in the downtrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Short positions (EURUSD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of January 28 - February 1.
**CHF (S6H21)USDCHF currency pair remains in the uptrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Long positions (USDCHF) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 21 - 27.
**GBP (B6H21)GBPUSD currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (GBPUSD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of February 1 - 5.
***JPY (J6H21)USDJPY currency pair remains in the uptrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Long positions (USDJPY) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 25 - 27.
**WTI (CLH21)The market remains in the uptrend and the impulse wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction formation on the Daily timeframe. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 27 - February 1.
**CAD (D6H21)USDCAD currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (USDCAD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of February 2 - 4.
***XAU (GCJ21)The support level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Thursday, the trend is bearish now and the correction wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Short positions will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of January 29 - February 2.
**XAG (SIH21)The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of February 2 - 5.
***AUD (A6H21)AUDUSD currency pair remains in the downtrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Short positions (AUDUSD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of January 26 - 27.
***NZD (N6H21)NZDUSD currency pair remains in the downtrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback selling opportunity was formed. Short positions (NZDUSD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of February 2 - 4.
**RUB
(R6H21)
The support level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Friday, the trend is bearish now and the impulse wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction formation on the Daily timeframe. Short positions (USDRUB) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of February 1 - 5.
The notation that determines the quality of possible trades during the new week are profit potential, the risk-reward ratio, the opinion of major market players, other factors:
****Excellent
***Good
**Ordinary
*Uninteresting (sideways trends, etc.)
The notation that determines the change in the opinion of large speculators, the direction of COT net position indicator in the reporting and prior periods are:
large speculators are buying the asset specified in the first column
large speculators are selling the asset specified in the first column
the green color of the arrows means that the Daily trend direction corresponds to the opinion of large speculators
the blue color of the arrows means that the Daily trend direction doesn’t correspond to the opinion of large speculators

If you want to get more information on the pullback trading tactics and other aspects of trading in the market, watch the «Horizontal levels in trading» video course.

E-Mini S&P500 (ESH21)

The resistance level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Friday, the trend is bullish now and the impulse wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction formation on the Daily timeframe. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 27 – February 2.

COT indicator decreases. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the market technical picture and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

E-Mini S&P500 (ESH20). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator

Dollar Index (DXY)

The market remains in the uptrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 28 – February 1.

COT indicator decreases. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling the dollar, hedgers are buying and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the Daily trend direction and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

Dollar Index (DXY). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Euro (EURUSD)

EURUSD currency pair remains in the downtrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Short positions (EURUSD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of January 28 – February 1.

COT indicator reversed. Large speculators are selling Euro and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the market technical picture.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

EURUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Swiss Franc (USDCHF)

USDCHF currency pair remains in the uptrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Long positions (USDCHF) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 21 – 27.

COT indicator increases. Large speculators are buying franc and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the Daily trend direction and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

CHFUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

British Pound (GBPUSD)

GBPUSD currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (GBPUSD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of February 1 – 5.

COT indicator decreases. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling Pound and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the Daily trend direction and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

GBPUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Japanese Yen (USDJPY)

USDJPY currency pair remains in the uptrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Long positions (USDJPY) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 25 – 27.

COT indicator decreases. Large speculators are selling Yen and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the Daily trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

JPYUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

WTI Crude Oil (CLH21)

The market remains in the uptrend and the impulse wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction formation on the Daily timeframe. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of January 27 – February 1.

COT net position indicator decreases. Large speculators are selling oil. Professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the Daily trend direction and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

WTI Crude Oil (CLH21). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Canadian Dollar (USDCAD)

USDCAD currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (USDCAD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of February 2 – 4.

COT indicator increases. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are buying the Canadian dollar and hedgers are selling and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the market technical picture and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

CADUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Gold (XAUUSD)

The support level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Thursday, the trend is bearish now and the correction wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Short positions will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of January 29 – February 2.

COT indicator decreases. Large speculators are selling gold and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the market technical picture.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

Gold (GCJ21). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Silver (XAGUSD)

The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of February 2 – 5.

COT indicator reversed. At the same time, CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling and hedgers are buying and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the market technical picture and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

Silver (SIH21). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Australian Dollar (AUDUSD)

AUDUSD currency pair remains in the downtrend and the correction wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Short positions (AUDUSD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of January 26 – 27.

COT net position indicator decreases. Large speculators are selling and hedgers are buying. Professionals’ opinion corresponds to the Daily trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

AUDUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator

New Zealand Dollar (NZDUSD)

NZDUSD currency pair remains in the downtrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback selling opportunity was formed. Short positions (NZDUSD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of February 2 – 4.

COT indicator decreases. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the market technical picture.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

NZDUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Russian Rouble (USDRUB)

The support level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Friday, the trend is bearish now and the impulse wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction formation on the Daily timeframe. Short positions (USDRUB) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of February 1 – 5.

COT indicator decreases. Large speculators are selling rouble and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the Daily trend direction and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Markets weekly overview for February 8 - 12

RUBUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Conclusions

In terms of medium-term trading, financial instruments with the correction close to completion on the Daily timeframe and with potentially the most promising risk-reward ratio are USDCAD, GBPUSD and silver.

In the near future, AUDUSD, USDCHF, EURUSD, Dollar Index and gold can become noteworthy depending on the market correction depth.

Other financial instruments in the trade list may be also interesting, but in these markets pullback signals on the Daily timeframe are likely to occur no earlier than a week.

More information on the topic:

Good luck in trading!

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