Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 – 21

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 – 21

The actual financial market overview based on CFTC:
Financial markets weekly overview for September 21 – 25.

To improve your trading system with the help of COT commission reports, watch the online course «Trading with professionals: CFTC reports for private traders».

We make up a weekly medium-term trade list based on CFTC reports and technical analysis.

The overview provides a description of the technical condition of the market on the most popular financial instruments, as well as information on the large speculators’ actions according to the last COT reports and the previous period.

If you want to use CFTC reports in your trading practice, you should understand that for an objective assessment of the situation it’s not enough to have the data of the last report. The dynamic is more important, in other words, comparing the statistics of large speculators’ actions in the current period with the previous one, so we mention both values.

Key topics

Trade list for the current week

AssetsComments10.
08
14.
08
**E-Mini
S&P500 (ESU20)
The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 11 - 12.
***Dollar Index (DXU20)The market remains in the downtrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback selling opportunity was formed. Short positions will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 10 - 13.
***EUR (E6U20)EURUSD currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (EURUSD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 7 - 13.
***CHF (S6U20)USDCHF currency pair remains in the downtrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback selling opportunity was formed. Short positions (USDCHF) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 10 - 13.
***GBP (B6U20)GBPUSD currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (GBPUSD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 11 - 14.
***JPY (J6U20)The resistance level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Tuesday, the trend is bullish now and the correction wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Long positions (USDJPY) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 5 - 10.
**WTI (CLU20)The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 6 - 12.
**CAD (D6U20)USDCAD currency pair remains in the downtrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback selling opportunity was formed. Short positions (USDCAD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 7 - 11.
***XAU (GCZ20)The support level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Tuesday, the trend is bearish now and the correction wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Short positions will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 5 - 10.
**XAG (SIU20)The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 11 - 13.
**AUD (A6U20)The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (AUDUSD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 7 - 12.
***NZD (N6U20)The market remains in the downtrend and the impulse wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction formation on the Daily timeframe. Short positions (NZDUSD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 5 - 7.
***RUB
(R6U20)
USDRUB currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (USDRUB) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 3 - 7.
The notation that determines the quality of possible trades during the new week are profit potential, the risk-reward ratio, the opinion of major market players, other factors:
****Excellent
***Good
**Ordinary
*Uninteresting (sideways trends, etc.)
The notation that determines the change in the opinion of large speculators, the direction of COT net position indicator in the reporting and prior periods are:
large speculators are buying the asset specified in the first column
large speculators are selling the asset specified in the first column
the green color of the arrows means that the Daily trend direction corresponds to the opinion of large speculators
the blue color of the arrows means that the Daily trend direction doesn’t correspond to the opinion of large speculators

If you want to get more information on the pullback trading tactics and other aspects of trading in the market, watch the «Horizontal levels in trading» video course.

E-Mini S&P500 (ESU20)

The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 11 – 12.

COT indicator decreases. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the market technical picture and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

E-Mini S&P500 (ESU20). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Dollar Index (DXY)

The market remains in the downtrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback selling opportunity was formed. Short positions will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 10 – 13.

COT indicator decreases. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling the dollar, hedgers are buying and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the Daily trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

Dollar Index (DXY). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Euro (EURUSD)

EURUSD currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (EURUSD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 7 – 13.

COT indicator increases. Large speculators are buying Euro and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the market technical picture.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

EURUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Swiss Franc (USDCHF)

USDCHF currency pair remains in the downtrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback selling opportunity was formed. Short positions (USDCHF) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 10 – 13.

COT indicator increases. Large speculators are buying franc and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the Daily trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

CHFUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

British Pound (GBPUSD)

GBPUSD currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (GBPUSD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 11 – 14.

COT indicator reversed. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are buying Pound and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the Daily trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

GBPUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Japanese Yen (USDJPY)

The resistance level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Tuesday, the trend is bullish now and the correction wave develops. A pullback buying opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Long positions (USDJPY) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 5 – 10.

COT indicator reversed. Large speculators are selling Yen and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the Daily trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

JPYUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

WTI Crude Oil (CLU20)

The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 6 – 12.

COT net position indicator decreases. Large speculators are selling oil. Professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the Daily trend direction and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

WTI Crude Oil (CLU20). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Canadian Dollar (USDCAD)

USDCAD currency pair remains in the downtrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback selling opportunity was formed. Short positions (USDCAD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 7 – 11.

COT indicator decreases. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling the Canadian dollar and hedgers are buying and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the market technical picture and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

CADUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Gold (XAUUSD)

The support level was broken on the Daily timeframe on Tuesday, the trend is bearish now and the correction wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction completion on the Daily timeframe. Short positions will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 5 – 10.

COT indicator decreases. Large speculators are selling gold and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the market technical picture.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

Gold (GCZ20). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Silver (XAGUSD)

The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 11 – 13.

COT indicator decreases. At the same time, CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling and hedgers are buying and the professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the technical picture and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

Silver (SIU20). Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Australian Dollar (AUDUSD)

The market remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (AUDUSD) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 7 – 12.

COT net position indicator decreases. Large speculators are selling and hedgers are buying. Professionals’ opinion doesn’t correspond to the Daily trend direction and it makes sense to reduce the position size when an entry point appears in the trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

AUDUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

New Zealand Dollar (NZDUSD)

The market remains in the downtrend and the impulse wave develops. A pullback selling opportunity will appear after the correction formation on the Daily timeframe. Short positions (NZDUSD) will remain relevant until the market is below the nearest resistance level on the Daily timeframe, the highs of August 5 – 7.

COT indicator increased but didn’t reverse. CFTC reports indicate that large speculators are selling and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the market technical picture.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

NZDUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Russian rouble (USDRUB)

USDRUB currency pair remains in the uptrend. The correction came to an end last week and the pullback buying opportunity was formed. Long positions (USDRUB) will remain relevant until the market is above the nearest support level on the Daily timeframe, the lows of August 3 – 7.

COT indicator increased but didn’t reverse. Large speculators are selling rouble and the professionals’ opinion corresponds to the Daily trend direction.

Financial markets weekly overview for August 17 - 21

RUBUSD. Technical analysis and COT net position indicator.

Conclusions

In terms of medium-term trading, financial instruments with the correction close to completion on the Daily timeframe and with potentially the most promising risk-reward ratio are EURUSD, AUDUSD, USDCHF, GBPUSD, Dollar Index, silver and WTI Crude Oil.

In the near future USDJPY and gold can become noteworthy depending on the market correction depth.

Other financial instruments in the trade list may be also interesting, but in these markets pullback signals on the Daily timeframe are likely to occur no earlier than a week.

More information on the topic:

Good luck in trading!

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