Weekly Market Overview: Forex, Stocks & Crypto (Feb 23 – Mar 1)

Financial markets weekly overview
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Reviewing the most important levels for key financial instruments and likely scenarios for developments.

Key Topics

Euro (EURUSD)

Bullish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for buying on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is resistance (1.1816 — 1.1838). The breakout occurred 10 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the upward movement is the resistance level with boundaries 1.2023 — 1.2081.

If the correction completes near the support level (1.1766 — 1.1777), the potential profit/risk ratio may be approximately 3.4:1.

Long positions will remain relevant, as long as the market is above the nearest support level with boundaries 1.1766 — 1.1777. If the market successfully settles below this support, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bearish).

EURUSD — Technical analysis

EURUSD. Technical analysis. D1.

British Pound (GBPUSD)

Bearish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for selling on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is support (1.3591 — 1.3619). The breakout occurred 4 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 1.3333 — 1.3372. In case of successful trend development, a farther target will be at the support level with boundaries 1.3180 — 1.3209.

Potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be small (approximately 0.4:1). When using a farther target — around 1:1. If the correction completes near the resistance level (1.3653 — 1.3662), the potential profit/risk ratio may be approximately 2.7:1. When selecting a farther target — around 4.2:1. If the correction completes near the last broken level (1.3591 — 1.3619), the potential profit/risk ratio may be around 1.5:1. For a farther target — approximately 2.5:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 1.3653 — 1.3662. If the market successfully settles above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

GBPUSD — Technical analysis

GBPUSD. Technical analysis. D1.

Swiss Franc (USDCHF)

Trend has turned bullish when the resistance level (0.7717 — 0.7730) was broken. The breakout occurred 3 candlesticks ago. An impulse wave is developing.

Intermediate target for the upward movement is the resistance level with boundaries 0.7784 — 0.7787. In case of successful trend development, a farther target will be at the resistance level with boundaries 0.8033 — 0.8040.

Potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be small (around 0.2:1). When using a farther target — approximately 1.8:1. If the new correction completes near the support level (0.7665 — 0.7677), the potential profit/risk ratio may be around 1.7:1. For a farther target — more than 5:1. If the next correction completes near the last broken level (0.7717 — 0.7730), the potential profit/risk ratio may be small (approximately 0.5:1). When selecting a farther target — more than 2:1.

Long positions will remain relevant, as long as the market is above the nearest support level with boundaries 0.7665 — 0.7677. If the market successfully settles below this support, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bearish).

USDCHF — Technical analysis

USDCHF. Technical analysis. D1.

Canadian Dollar (USDCAD)

Bearish trend continues, 2 candlesticks ago the correction likely completed, an impulse wave is developing. The last broken level is support (1.3627 — 1.3638). The breakout occurred 10 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 1.3501 — 1.3550.

Potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be around 1.1:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 1.3696 — 1.3714. If the market successfully settles above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

USDCAD — Technical analysis

USDCAD. Technical analysis. D1.

Australian Dollar (AUDUSD)

Bullish trend continues, 2 candlesticks ago the correction likely completed, an impulse wave is developing. The last broken level is resistance (0.7023 — 0.7050). The breakout occurred 10 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the upward movement is the resistance level with boundaries 0.7127 — 0.7147.

Potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be small (approximately 0.3:1).

Long positions will remain relevant, as long as the market is above the nearest support level with boundaries 0.7013 — 0.7041. If the market successfully settles below this support, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bearish).

AUDUSD — Technical analysis

AUDUSD. Technical analysis. D1.

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bearish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for selling on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is support (86004 — 86567). The breakout occurred 22 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 65092 — 66213.

Potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be small (approximately 0.1:1). If the new correction completes near the resistance level (70265 — 72207), the potential profit/risk ratio may be around 1.1:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 70265 — 72207. If the market successfully settles above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

BTC — Technical analysis

BTC. Technical analysis. D1.

Ether (ETH)

Bearish trend continues, an impulse wave is developing. The last broken level is support (2786 — 2816). The breakout occurred 21 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 1897 — 1941.

Potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be less than 0.1:1. If the next correction completes near the resistance level (1998 — 2037), the potential profit/risk ratio may be small (approximately 0.5:1).

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 1998 — 2037. If the market successfully settles above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

ETH — Technical analysis

ETH. Technical analysis. D1.

Apple Inc (AAPL)

Bullish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for buying on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is resistance (259.17 — 261.95). The breakout occurred 14 candlesticks ago.

Upon resumption of the upward movement, the first target will be the resistance level with boundaries 278.13 — 280.91.

If the correction completes near the support level (255.45 — 255.78), the potential profit/risk ratio may be around 3:1. If the correction completes near the last broken level (259.17 — 261.95), the potential profit/risk ratio may be around 1.4:1.

Long positions will remain relevant, as long as the market is above the nearest support level with boundaries 255.45 — 255.78. If the market successfully settles below this support, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bearish).

AAPL — Technical analysis

AAPL. Technical analysis. D1.

NVIDIA Corp (NVDA)

Bearish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for selling on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is support (177.61 — 178.07). The breakout occurred 12 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 171.03 — 171.88. In case of successful trend development, a farther target will be at the support level with boundaries 168.41 — 170.29.

If the correction completes near the resistance level (192.45 — 193.66), the potential profit/risk ratio may be approximately 2.7:1. When using a farther target — around 2.9:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 192.45 — 193.66. If the market successfully settles above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

NVDA — Technical analysis

NVDA. Technical analysis. D1.

Tesla Inc (TSLA)

Bearish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for selling on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is support (414.50 — 416.56). The breakout occurred 12 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 387.53 — 397.02.

If the correction completes near the resistance level (430.41 — 439.88), the potential profit/risk ratio may be approximately 1.9:1. If the correction completes near the last broken level (414.50 — 416.56), the potential profit/risk ratio may be small (approximately 0.5:1).

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 430.41 — 439.88. If the market successfully settles above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

TSLA — Technical analysis

TSLA. Technical analysis. D1.

Summary

From the perspective of medium-term trading, financial instruments with correction close to completion on Daily and/or potentially the most promising profit-to-risk ratios include: AAPL, EURUSD, USDCAD. Soon, depending on the depth of market correction, may deserve attention: GBPUSD, USDCHF, TSLA.

The remaining financial instruments may also be interesting, but on these markets rebound signals on Daily are likely to appear no earlier than in a week.