Week in Markets: Trends and Expectations (Feb 2–8)

Financial markets weekly overview
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We are reviewing the most important levels for key financial instruments and likely scenarios for developments.

Key Topics

Euro (EURUSD)

Bullish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing again. An entry point for buying on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is resistance (1.1668 — 1.1699). The breakout occurred 9 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the upward movement is the resistance level with boundaries 1.2023 — 1.2081.

If the next correction completes near the support level (1.1574 — 1.1604), the potential profit/risk ratio could be more than 3:1. If the next correction completes near the last broken level (1.1668 — 1.1699), the potential profit/risk ratio could be about 1.6:1.

Long positions will remain relevant, as long as the market is above the nearest support level with boundaries 1.1574 — 1.1604. If the market successfully closes below this support, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bearish).

EURUSD — technical analysis

EURUSD. Technical analysis. D1.

British Pound (GBPUSD)

Bullish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for buying on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is resistance (1.3466 — 1.3495). The breakout occurred 7 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the upward movement is the resistance level with boundaries 1.3827 — 1.3868.

The potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be small (about 0.3:1). If the next correction completes near the support level (1.3333 — 1.3372), the potential profit/risk ratio could be about 3.6:1. If the next correction completes near the last broken level (1.3466 — 1.3495), the potential profit/risk ratio could be around 1.3:1.

Long positions will remain relevant, as long as the market is above the nearest support level with boundaries 1.3333 — 1.3372. If the market successfully closes below this support, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bearish).

GBPUSD — technical analysis

GBPUSD. Technical analysis. D1.

Japanese Yen (USDJPY)

Bearish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for selling on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is support (157.98 — 157.98). The breakout occurred 6 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 152.10 — 152.50. In case of successful trend development, a further target will be at the support level with boundaries 149.38 — 150.15.

The potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be small (about 0.4:1). When using a further target — also small (about 0.7:1). If the new correction completes near the resistance level (158.50 — 159.22), the potential profit/risk ratio could be about 3:1. For a further target — more than 4:1. If the next correction completes near the last broken level (157.98 — 157.98), the potential profit/risk ratio could be around 2:1. When selecting a further target — about 3:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 158.50 — 159.22. If the market successfully closes above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

USDJPY — technical analysis

USDJPY. Technical analysis. D1.

Canadian Dollar (USDCAD)

Bearish trend continues, correction completed 7 candlesticks ago, impulse wave is developing. The last broken level is support (1.3854 — 1.3872). The breakout occurred 9 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 1.3479 — 1.3490.

The potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be small (about 0.3:1).

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 1.3916 — 1.3928. If the market successfully closes above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

USDCAD — technical analysis

USDCAD. Technical analysis. D1.

Australian Dollar (AUDUSD)

Bullish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for buying on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is resistance (0.6711 — 0.6725). The breakout occurred 9 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the upward movement is the resistance level with boundaries 0.7049 — 0.7094.

The potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be small (about 0.2:1). If the next correction completes near the support level (0.6665 — 0.6679), the potential profit/risk ratio could be more than 4:1. If the next correction completes near the last broken level (0.6711 — 0.6725), the potential profit/risk ratio could be more than 2:1.

Long positions will remain relevant, as long as the market is above the nearest support level with boundaries 0.6665 — 0.6679. If the market successfully closes below this support, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bearish).

AUDUSD — technical analysis

AUDUSD. Technical analysis. D1.

New Zealand Dollar (NZDUSD)

Bullish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for buying on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is resistance (0.5788 — 0.5810). The breakout occurred 9 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the upward movement is the resistance level with boundaries 0.6097 — 0.6120. In case of successful trend development, a further target will be at the resistance level with boundaries 0.6344 — 0.6379.

The potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels may be small (about 0.2:1). When using a further target — also small (about 0.9:1). If the next correction completes near the support level (0.5724 — 0.5738), the potential profit/risk ratio could be about 5:1. When selecting a further target — more than 8:1. If the next correction completes near the last broken level (0.5788 — 0.5810), the potential profit/risk ratio could be about 2:1. For a further target — around 4:1.

Long positions will remain relevant, as long as the market is above the nearest support level with boundaries 0.5724 — 0.5738. If the market successfully closes below this support, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bearish).

NZDUSD — technical analysis

NZDUSD. Technical analysis. D1.

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bearish trend continues, an impulse wave is developing. An entry point for selling on rebound may form after a full correction forms. The last broken level is support (86004 — 86567). The breakout occurred 3 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 74437 — 76272.

If the next correction completes near the resistance level (89185 — 90439), the potential profit/risk ratio could be about 3.5:1. If the correction completes near the last broken level (86004 — 86567), the potential profit/risk ratio could be around 1.4:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 89185 — 90439. If the market successfully closes above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

BTC — technical analysis

BTC. Technical analysis. D1.

Ether (ETH)

Trend has turned bearish, when the support level (2786 — 2816) was broken 2 candlesticks ago. An impulse wave is developing.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 2378 — 2406. In case of successful trend development, a further target will be at the support level with boundaries 1753 — 1812.

If the new correction completes near the resistance level (3022 — 3041), the potential profit/risk ratio could be around 3.4:1. When using a further target — around 6.7:1. If the next correction completes near the last broken level (2786 — 2816), the potential profit/risk ratio could be around 1:1. When selecting a further target — about 2.4:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 3022 — 3041. If the market successfully closes above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

ETH — technical analysis

ETH. Technical analysis. D1.

Apple Inc (AAPL)

Bearish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing again. An entry point for selling on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is support (255.70 — 257.02). The breakout occurred 10 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 252.18 — 255.17. In case of successful trend development, a further target will be at the support level with boundaries 225.95 — 226.79.

If the next correction completes near the resistance level (259.17 — 261.95), the potential profit/risk ratio could be small (about 0.5:1). When using a further target — around 3.8:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 259.17 — 261.95. If the market successfully closes above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

AAPL — technical analysis

AAPL. Technical analysis. D1.

NVIDIA Corp (NVDA)

Bearish trend continues, on the last closed candlestick a bearish rebound from the resistance zone (190.53 — 192.69) was detected. The last broken level is support (183.02 — 183.22). The breakout occurred 9 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 177.61 — 178.07. In case of successful trend development, a further target will be at the support level with boundaries 168.41 — 170.29.

From current prices, the potential profit/risk ratio could be about 2:1. When using a further target — around 3:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 190.53 — 192.69. If the market successfully closes above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

NVDA — technical analysis

NVDA. Technical analysis. D1.

Tesla Inc (TSLA)

Bearish trend continues, a corrective wave is developing. An entry point for selling on rebound may form after the current correction completes. The last broken level is support (417.44 — 419.25). The breakout occurred 2 candlesticks ago.

Intermediate target for the downward movement is the support level with boundaries 383.76 — 391.09. In case of successful trend development, a further target will be at the support level with boundaries 346.07 — 347.79.

The potential profit/risk ratio from current prices when setting targets and fixing risks based on daily timeframe levels could be around 1.1:1. When using a further target — about 2:1. If the correction completes near the resistance level (449.06 — 452.43), the potential profit/risk ratio could be more than 3:1. When assessing a further target — more than 6:1.

Short positions will remain relevant, as long as the market remains below the nearest resistance level with boundaries 449.06 — 452.43. If the market successfully closes above this nearest resistance, the trend will reverse to the opposite (bullish).

TSLA — technical analysis

TSLA. Technical analysis. D1.

Summary

From a medium-term trading perspective, financial instruments with correction nearing completion on Daily and/or potentially the most promising profit/risk ratios include: EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AAPL, NVDA. Soon, depending on the depth of market correction, the following may deserve attention: USDCAD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD.

The rest of the trading list instruments may also be interesting, but on these markets Daily rebound signals are likely to appear no earlier than in a week.